Meistriliiga · Estonia · Kuressaare Linnastaadion
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Kuressaare vs Nõmme United prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Value bet: Nõmme United to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Kuressaare 1.2 – 2.0 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Nõmme United shade it despite being away from home – 57% to win, against 22% for Kuressaare.
Kuressaare have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 0.8 per game. Nõmme United have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (1.2 for Kuressaare, 2.0 for Nõmme United). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 0–2 (8%).
In their last 2 meetings, Kuressaare have won 1, Nõmme United have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.51. For a bigger price, Nõmme United to win at 1.95 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Nõmme United to win ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | Nõmme United ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Nõmme United / FT Nõmme United ✗ | 36% | 2.77 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.21 | – |
Form
Kuressaare – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Kalju Nomme | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ Vaprus | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Paide | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs FC Levadia Tallinn | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Oct | @ Trans Narva | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Flora Tallinn | 2–0 | W |
Nõmme United – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs FC Levadia Tallinn | 3–4 | L |
| 27 Oct | @ Trans Narva | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | vs Vaprus | 4–2 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Kalju Nomme | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | @ Laagri | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Tammeka | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
| 11 Jul 2026 | Nõmme United v Kuressaare | 3–2 |
| 20 May 2026 | Kuressaare v Nõmme United | 2–1 |
More Meistriliiga predictions
FC Levadia Tallinn2
Kalju Nomme2
1FC Levadia Tallinn to win
63%@1.63
✗
FT
Trans Narva3
Laagri1
GGBoth teams to score
64%@1.42
✓
FT
Paide2
Flora Tallinn2
GGBoth teams to score
63%@1.50
✓
FT
Tammeka0
Vaprus5
GGBoth teams to score
67%@1.41
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
On our numbers Kuressaare have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nõmme United 57%.
How many goals will there be in Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
When is Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
Kuressaare vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Kuressaare Linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.