Erovnuli Liga · Georgia · David Petriashvili Stadium
Rustavi
Samgurali
Rustavi vs Samgurali prediction & analysis
Rustavi to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.61 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rustavi 2.0 – 0.7 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Rustavi are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 11% for Samgurali.
Rustavi have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. Samgurali have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (2.0 for Rustavi, 0.7 for Samgurali). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (9%).
In their last 3 meetings, Rustavi have won 1, Samgurali have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Rustavi to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.61 is better than our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rustavi to win ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.61 ▲ |
| Double chance | Rustavi or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.24 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Rustavi ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.06 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rustavi / FT Rustavi ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.18 | – |
Form
Rustavi – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Gagra | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Oct | @ Gagra | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Oct | vs Dinamo Tbilisi | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Torpedo Kutaisi | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Dila | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Samtredia | 2–1 | W |
Samgurali – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Spaeri | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Dinamo Batumi | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Meshakhte | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Gagra | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Dinamo Tbilisi | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | @ Torpedo Kutaisi | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
| 30 Aug 2026 | Samgurali v Rustavi | 1–1 |
| 21 May 2026 | Rustavi v Samgurali | 1–0 |
| 3 Apr 2026 | Samgurali v Rustavi | 2–1 |
More Erovnuli Liga predictions
Spaeri3
Dinamo Batumi2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
63%@1.49
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rustavi vs Samgurali?
Our pick is Rustavi to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.61.
Who will win Rustavi vs Samgurali?
On our numbers Rustavi have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Samgurali 11%.
How many goals will there be in Rustavi vs Samgurali?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Rustavi vs Samgurali?
Rustavi vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.