Erovnuli Liga 2 · Georgia · Central stadium

Gareji

LDWLL
3–0
FT

Merani Martvili

WLWLL

Gareji vs Merani Martvili prediction & analysis

56%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.69 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.69Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGareji to win ✓42% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.17

Win chances

Gareji42%fair 2.40 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.25
Merani Martvili35%fair 2.83 · @2.55
2.49Expected goals
1.31Gareji xG
1.18Merani Martvili xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Gareji 1.3 – 1.2 Merani Martvili expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Gareji and Merani Martvili on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Gareji have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Merani Martvili have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Gareji, 1.2 for Merani Martvili). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).

In their last 3 meetings, Gareji have won 2, Merani Martvili have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.7 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.69 is close to our fair price of 1.77.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGareji to win ✓42%2.402.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.771.69
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gareji / FT Gareji ✗23%4.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%9.17–

Form

Gareji – last 6

LDWLLW
31 Oct@ Kolkheti Poti0–3L
24 Oct@ Aragvi Dusheti0–0D
17 Octvs Telavi2–1W
10 Oct@ Odishi 19190–1L
20 Sep@ Shturmi0–1L
16 Sepvs Gori2–1W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Merani Martvili – last 6

WLWLLW
31 Octvs Telavi2–0W
24 Oct@ Odishi 19190–3L
17 Octvs Shturmi3–1W
10 Oct@ Gori1–2L
20 Sep@ Samtredia0–5L
16 Sepvs Sioni2–1W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Aug 2026Merani Martvili v Gareji1–2
20 May 2026Gareji v Merani Martvili1–0
3 Apr 2026Merani Martvili v Gareji1–0

More Erovnuli Liga 2 predictions

FT Aragvi Dusheti1 Kolkheti Poti0 362144 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.20 ✗ FT Telavi1 Sioni2 631918 1Telavi to win 63%@1.65 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gareji vs Merani Martvili?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.69.

Who will win Gareji vs Merani Martvili?

On our numbers Gareji have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Merani Martvili 35%.

How many goals will there be in Gareji vs Merani Martvili?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

When is Gareji vs Merani Martvili?

Gareji vs Merani Martvili (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Central stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.