Ettan Södra · Sweden
Rosengård
AFC Malmo
Rosengård vs AFC Malmo prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Value bet: AFC Malmo to win @ 2.89 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rosengård 1.7 – 1.7 AFC Malmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Rosengård and AFC Malmo on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Rosengård have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. AFC Malmo have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.7 scored and 1.8 conceded. AFC Malmo come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.7 for Rosengård, 1.7 for AFC Malmo). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.55. For a bigger price, AFC Malmo to win at 2.89 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rosengård to win ✓ | 39% | 2.54 | 2.02 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.39 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | 1.09 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 37% | 2.68 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rosengård / FT Rosengård ✓ | 23% | 4.34 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 8% | 12.10 | – |
Form
Rosengård – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Skövde AIK | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Kristianstad | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Tvååker | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Atvidabergs FF | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Angelholms FF | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Hässleholms IF | 2–1 | W |
AFC Malmo – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Trollhättan | 6–3 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Angelholms FF | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Jonkopings Sodra | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Skövde AIK | 4–2 | W |
| 2 Oct | @ Kristianstad | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Eskilsminne | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rosengård and AFC Malmo.
More Ettan Södra predictions
Eskilsminne3
Atvidabergs FF0
1Eskilsminne to win
64%@1.53
✓
FT
Hässleholms IF0
Angelholms FF1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
79%@1.20
✗
FT
Jonkopings Sodra2
Trelleborg3
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
67%@1.38
✗
FT
Laholm2
Skövde AIK3
1Laholm to win
68%@1.45
✗
FT
Trollhättan2
Olympic4
GGBoth teams to score
72%@1.31
✓
FT
Tvååker1
Lund2
2Lund to win
64%@1.48
✓
FT
Utsikten0
Kristianstad0
2Kristianstad to win
69%@1.44
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rosengård vs AFC Malmo?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Rosengård vs AFC Malmo?
On our numbers Rosengård have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AFC Malmo 39%.
How many goals will there be in Rosengård vs AFC Malmo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Rosengård vs AFC Malmo?
Rosengård vs AFC Malmo (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.