Serie A · Brazil · Barradao
Vitoria
Fluminense
Vitoria vs Fluminense prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Value bet: Vitoria to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.3 – 1.3 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Vitoria and Fluminense on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Vitoria have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Fluminense have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Vitoria, 1.3 for Fluminense). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Vitoria to win at 2.80 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Vitoria to win ✗ | 38% | 2.63 | 2.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Vitoria / FT Vitoria ✗ | 21% | 4.69 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.49 | – |
Form
Vitoria – last 6
| 29 Oct | @ Coritiba | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Atletico Paranaense | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | @ Corinthians | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Sao Paulo | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs Chapecoense-sc | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Cruzeiro | 1–3 | L |
Fluminense – last 6
| 28 Oct | vs Internacional | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Chapecoense-sc | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | @ Palmeiras | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Santos | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | vs Palmeiras | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Flamengo | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitoria and Fluminense.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Fluminense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Vitoria vs Fluminense?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fluminense 38%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Fluminense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Vitoria vs Fluminense?
Vitoria vs Fluminense (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Barradao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.